Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.4%
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto26 apr 25, 08:47 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will a real money prediction market about OpenAI announcing AGI first stay above 90% for one month?
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Manifold MarketsHow much will be wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
PolymarketWill the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, Manifold Markets allows users to place bets using real money, where both deposits and withdrawals are conducted in fiat currency.
- The market will resolve to "No" if, by that date, Manifold Markets does not offer such functionality.
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 482,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 422,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,7K €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 189,6K €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026??
- Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria: