Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Maduro be released from U.S. custody before his wife??

Manifold Markets quota No al 90.1% al 23 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Maduro be released from U.S. custody before his wife??

Will Maduro be released from U.S. custody before his wife? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati

Dati al 23 ott 2026, 17:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 90.1%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 ora fa

In ritardo

3 gen 26, 19:51 UTC31 dic 26, 19:49 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Based on a consensus of credible reporting.

If either dies in custody, resolves N/A. Resolves 50% if they are released in the same span of 5 minutes.
Nonsense legal mumbo jumbo (don't read):
Resolves YES if the Bay Area ceases to exist before close.
Resolves NO if New York ceases to exist before close.
Resolves N/A if AGI comes next Friday the 13, and resolves 67% if I hear someone say 67 within 2 hours of creating this market, except anyone I am blood related to.