Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 71%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto27 feb 26, 23:38 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Lauren Boebert win the Colorado 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill any member of the squad who lost their 2024 election get elected to the House of Representatives by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Olivia Chow be re-elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Lauren Boebert wins the general election for Colorado's 4th Congressional District on November 3, 2026.
- The Republican primary is June 30, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official election results from the Colorado Secretary of State or Associated Press race calls.
- Boebert was elected to the 4th district with 53.6% of the vote in 2024.
- After one term in Congress representing the 3rd District, Boebert nearly lost reelection in 2022, then moved across the state and switched to the more heavily Republican 4th District.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026??
- Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Lauren Boebert be re-elected to the House in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria