Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 51.1%
Previsori
55
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto5 feb 24, 18:33 UTC13 feb 29, 05:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will happen before King Charles III dies? [Add Answers!]
Manifold MarketsWhen will King Charles III die?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will King Charles III visit in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
King Charles III was recently diagnosed with cancer, as per a press release from Buckingham Palace (https://www.royal.uk/a-statement-from-buckingham-palace-5Feb24)
- Also here: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-68208157.amp
- Survival in cancer is typically considered if the patient survives 5 years after the initial diagnosis.
- Clarifications:
- 1) If King Charles dies of any causes in the 5 years after the diagnosis, market will resolve No. 2) If the date of diagnosis is made public, that will be the start date.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
- 83,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 864,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 915,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Volume totale
- 4,2K €
- Volume 24h
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will King Charles survive his cancer diagnosis??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will King Charles survive his cancer diagnosis??
- Will King Charles survive his cancer diagnosis? dovrebbe risolversi il 13 febbraio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will King Charles survive his cancer diagnosis??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: King Charles III was recently diagnosed with cancer, as per a press release from Buckingham Palace (https://www.royal.uk/a-statement-from-buckingham-palace-5Feb24)