Previsione della comunità attuale
No 97.3%
Previsori
93
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto6 gen 25, 16:28 UTC1 gen 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
KalshiNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or Labour's official website list Keir Starmer as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election??
- Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or Labour's official website list Keir Starmer as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.