Previsione della comunità attuale
No 98.9%
Previsori
65
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 35 minuti fa
15 feb 24, 09:06 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029?
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KalshiSanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves No if any of the following actions occur:
- Keir Starmer fails to form a parliamentary majority in the 2024 election as seen on Wikipedia (2019 equivalent: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_general_election)
- Keir Starmer resigns or is deposed by a vote of no confidence before the next General Election is scheduled to be held (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election).
- Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If a general election is held before 2024 and Keir Starmer maintains his parliamentary majority, the question will resolve to a yes.
- If he loses his parliamentary majority in an early election, the question will resolve to a no.