Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneCriminalità e giustizia3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.5%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto22 lug 23, 01:00 UTC2 gen 30, 12:30 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Julian Assange still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Edward Snowden receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Julian Assange die on American soil?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden live to see Julian Assange extradited to the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?
KalshiTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Any use of the power of the president under Article II, Section 2 of the US Constitution to grant any form of clemency, whether pardons, partial pardons, commutations, remissions, respites, reprieves, amnesties etc., to Julian Assange before the end of 2029 will result in a YES resolution.
- Otherwise NO.