Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 97.2%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto10 gen 26, 13:07 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will Josh Shapiro say during Face the Nation?
KalshiWill Josh Shapiro win the Pennsylvania general election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Josh Shapiro get 60.00% or more of the vote in 2026 Pennsylvania Governor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Josh Shapiro get 60.00% or more of the vote in 2026 Pennsylvania Governor election?
Manifold MarketsJosh Shapiro margin of victory
KalshiPennsylvania Governor election: Josh Shapiro vote percent
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Josh Shapiro wins the general election and NO if he loses.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Pennsylvania Department of State (https://www.pa.gov/en/government/how-government-works/elections.html).
- Shapiro announced in January 2026 that he would run for reelection to a second term.
- Shapiro was first elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2022, defeating Republican Doug Mastriano by 15 points.
