Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:28 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 93%
Previsori
38
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo12 ott 22, 18:14 UTC1 gen 00, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
“Will Mehdi Hasan appear as an in-studio guest on Real Time with Bill Maher before December 31, 2026?”
Manifold MarketsWill Jon Stewart announce a campaign for any public federal office before the end of 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Tucker Carlson ever run for president?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman ever run for president
Manifold MarketsVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
PolymarketWill Rubio and Vance run for President?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if at least one of the people in the title ever file to be a candidate for President of the United States.
- Merely declaring candidacy won't by itself resolve this market YES.
- Close date updated to 2099-12-31 11:59 pm