Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 56%
Previsori
66
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto28 feb 25, 09:56 UTC20 gen 29, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Joe Biden outlive Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiElon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be excommunicated by the Catholic Church during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if:
- Joe Biden is still alive when Donald Trump's current presidential term ends (normally January 20, 2029), or if Trump's presidency ends earlier for any reason (resignation, removal from office, death) and Biden is still alive at that time.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
- Joe Biden dies before Trump's presidency concludes.
- Market will continue in the event of a Trump presidency continuing beyond January 20th 2029, until one of the conditions are met.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 56% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency??
- Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Joe Biden outlive the Trump Presidency??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria