Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 58.2%
Previsori
67
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto28 feb 25, 09:56 UTC20 gen 29, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, will Joe Biden win in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden outlive Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden outlive Hunter Biden?
Manifold MarketsUS birth rate increases by over 10% during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if:
- Joe Biden is still alive when Donald Trump's current presidential term ends (normally January 20, 2029), or if Trump's presidency ends earlier for any reason (resignation, removal from office, death) and Biden is still alive at that time.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
- Joe Biden dies before Trump's presidency concludes.
- Market will continue in the event of a Trump presidency continuing beyond January 20th 2029, until one of the conditions are met.
