Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 72.9%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC16 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump or Biden Live longer?
Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
Kalshi2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiLos Angeles Mayor winner?
KalshiRegole
If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s
- (Identical market to: source market)
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+12.0pt81.2%
- Yes-12.0pt18.8%
- Volume totale
- 15,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1 Mln €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.3pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt34%
- R-House, R-Senate-3.0pt14%
+1 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 188,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 675,8K €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt63%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37%
- Volume totale
- 27,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 642,6K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.5pt52.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt45.5%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt2%
+16 altri esiti
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 73% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump??
- Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? dovrebbe risolversi il 16 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If Biden’s lifespan ultimately exceeds Trump’s