Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (93.4%)
Risolto: 1 ott 2026, 05:34
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 31 ago 2026, 21:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes6.6%
No93.4%
Vinta
Persa
Regole
Resolves YES if Jinbaobao's trailing twelve months (TTM) tin production is reported below 40,000 tonnes in their official production disclosures or industry reports as of August 31, 2026.
- Data sources include Jinbaobao's company reports, Chinese mining authorities, or verified industry publications.
- Given Jinbaobao's recent export ban impacting roughly 12% of global tin supply, this threshold near 40 kt reflects a critical level influencing global tin availability and pricing.
- Production figures must exclude downstream refining or recycling volumes and focus solely on mined tin output attributed to Jinbaobao.
- Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, covering 12% of global supply, significantly tightens the market, influencing pricing and availability.
- Source: Article
