Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (96.8%)
Risolto: 1 ott 2026, 05:34
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 31 ago 2026, 21:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes3.2%
No96.8%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Jinbaobao reports its trailing twelve months (TTM) tin production below 60,000 tonnes in official company disclosures or industry reports as of August 31, 2026.
- Data sources include Jinbaobao's production reports, Chinese mining statistics, or authoritative market intelligence.
- Given Jinbaobao's recent tin export ban impacting about 12% of global supply, this threshold reflects a near-term contraction in output amid ongoing geopolitical and supply chain constraints.
- Production figures must exclude recycled tin and only count primary mine output.
- This market evaluates the production level exactly on the settlement date, not cumulative or annual totals.
- Jinbaobao's sudden tin export ban, covering 12% of global supply, significantly tightens the market, influencing pricing and availability.