Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 87%
Previsori
121
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto23 gen 25, 13:09 UTC2 nov 28, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWhen, if at all, will JD Vance become president?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExRegole
Update 2025-23-01 (PST): - Temporary power transfers are not considered when determining if JD Vance becomes President before November 1, 2028.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 87% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028??
- Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Update 2025-23-01 (PST): - Temporary power transfers are not considered when determining if JD Vance becomes President before November 1, 2028.