Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 85.6%
Previsori
51
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto6 nov 24, 18:02 UTC22 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will JD Vance become President of the US before November 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be impeached and removed during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be impeached during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump be impeached during his term?
KalshiWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExRegole
JD Vance is vice president-elect of the United States.
- If Donald Trump ceases to be President during 2025-2029 term, JD Vance will be next in line in presidential succession.
- Donald Trump's term office begins 20 Jan 2025, and ends 20 Jan 2029.
- Will JD Vance succeed Trump and become US President during this term of office?
- Becoming acting-president for a brief medical procedure would not count.
- Becoming acting-president by involuntary use of the 25th amendment would count.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term??
- Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term? dovrebbe risolversi il 22 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: JD Vance is vice president-elect of the United States.