Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 67.7%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
11 giu 26, 05:41 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWhich bloc will win a Knesset majority?
KalshiWhich parties will be in the next Israeli government?
PolymarketWho will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
KalshiWhich bloc will win the most Knesset seats?
KalshiRegole
This market resolves to YES if Israel holds a nationwide legislative election to elect members of the Knesset (parliament) on any date from January 1, 2027, through December 31, 2027, inclusive.
- Israel's next legislative election is scheduled to be held by October 27, 2026.
- However, Israel's political landscape is highly volatile, frequently characterized by early coalition dissolutions and snap elections.
- For this market to resolve YES, the scheduled 2026 election would need to be delayed into 2027, or a newly formed government would need to collapse shortly after taking power, triggering a subsequent election in 2027.
- If elections occur in 2026 as scheduled and no further Knesset election is held in 2027, this market will resolve NO.