Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Iran succumb to U.S. demands??

Manifold Markets quota No al 90.1% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Iran succumb to U.S. demands??

Will Iran succumb to U.S. demands? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 90.1%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 16 minuti fa

24 feb 26, 14:19 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

This market resolves YES if Iran accepts and complies with the primary U.S. demands in the on going negotiations.

Specifically, Iran must:
Transfer its (allegedly) remaining 400 kg of enriched uranium or be found to not have any.
Halt its nuclear weapons development.
Restrict its ballistic missile program.
End its financial, political and military support for groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.