Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 56 minuti fa
In ritardo17 mag 26, 21:23 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Last summer I was studying German with the goal of reading original texts.
- I got to B1 before stopping, due to "feeling the AGI" too much and deciding continuing study wasn't the best use of my time.
- Resolution criteria:
- Resolves YES if, at any point between market creation and Dec 31, 2026, I resume a consistent German self-study routine (or comparable effort — e.g., re-enroll in structured tutoring, plan on enrolling in language school, etc.)
- Otherwise, it will resolve to NO at closing.
- As this is a personal matter, the market will resolve based on my own records and verification of my study activity.