Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81.6%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto11 mag 26, 18:38 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will I lose over 90% of my money (on my @markingraham account) due to claims of alt embezzlement?
Manifold MarketsWill any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will my current phone no longer be my daily driver?
Manifold MarketsWill I lose my virginity within the next 3 years?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketTurner Prize 2026 Winner
PolymarketRegole
Update 2026-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator's current job is as a project manager at a startup.
