Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 80.6%
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto19 dic 22, 10:14 UTC31 dic 31, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?
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Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWhat will Mark Carney say during his European Parliament address?
KalshiWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.3pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 617,8K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.7pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Volume totale
- 846,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8K €
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+1.5pt79%
- SPD21%
- CDU0%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 433K €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson76.7%
- Ulf Kristersson21.4%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.7pt1%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,3 Mln €
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Hungary be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 81% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Hungary be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032??
- Will Hungary be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2031.