Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (92.8%)
Risolto: 10 ago 2026, 06:04
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 92.8%
Previsori
57
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 giorni fa
Obsoleto5 ago 26, 6:5210 ago 26, 3:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes7.2%
No92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Regole
Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word "endorse" (or direct variations).
- General statements of support (e.g., "looking forward to helping defeat Rogers") will not count as an endorsement.
- Update 2026-08-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Haley Stevens must explicitly use the word endorse (or direct variations such as endorsed or endorsement).
- General statements of preference (e.g., saying she wants his opponent to lose, or that she will support his campaign against another person) will not count.
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 160,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 845,4K €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 591,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 50,3 Mln €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 10 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday??
- Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? dovrebbe risolversi il 10 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if, via any official announcement, Haley Stevens endorses AES for Senate by EOD Sunday.