Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 23:51 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 50.6%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto7 apr 26, 14:56 UTC31 dic 29, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2029?
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Manifold MarketsWill hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 2000 USD/kg on December 31, 2030?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES if hafnium unwrought metal price exceeds 6500 USD/kg on December 31, 2029.
- What is being measured: Hafnium unwrought metal spot price (USD/kg) on or nearest to December 31, 2029, based on USGS MCS annual average (for yearly markets) or Asian Metal / Argus Metals International spot quotes (for quarterly markets).
- YES if: Hafnium spot price >= 6500 USD/kg on December 31, 2029 NO if: Hafnium spot price < 6500 USD/kg on December 31, 2029
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries — Hafnium section (usgs.gov/minerals/pubs/mcs) Published February annually; covers prior calendar year average price
- Asian Metal — hafnium unwrought China domestic price (asianmetal.com)
