Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 81.2%
Previsori
38
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto17 gen 24, 00:29 UTC2 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will global peak oil production occur before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Strait of Hormuz be blockaded during the year that peak oil is reached?
Manifold MarketsHow high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiTexas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
KalshiWhat will the peak RONI value be during the 2026-27 El Niño season?
KalshiGlobal carbon emissions peak when ?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2026 and 2027 from a peak in or before the year 2025, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2025.
- Resolves NO if world total oil production is clearly above 2025 levels in 2026 or 2027.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peak_oil
- "Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global oil production is reached, after which production will begin an irreversible decline.
- It is related to the distinct concept of oil depletion; while global petroleum reserves are finite, the limiting factor is not whether the oil exists but whether it can be extracted economically at a given price."
- [image]from: https://yearbook.enerdata.net/crude-oil/world-production-statistics.html
Mercati aperti
CommoditiesKALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 414,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 265,7K €
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 altri esiti
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 126,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 126,9K €
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 113,1K €
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 112,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 78,2K €
- Copper price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brent crude oil price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Gold price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- US gas prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- Ohio gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will global peak oil production occur before 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 81% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will global peak oil production occur before 2026??
- Will global peak oil production occur before 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will global peak oil production occur before 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if total world oil production declines in 2026 and 2027 from a peak in or before the year 2025, AND there is a majority consensus among world energy economics experts that peak oil was likely reached in or before 2025.