Will Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?
PoliticaOne-OffGeopoliticaRussia / UcrainaEuropa2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 10:29 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 87.8%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo9 feb 26, 15:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Peace Combo
PolymarketUkraine peace referendum scheduled by which date?
PolymarketUkraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
PolymarketWill Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine be a member state of the EU at EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Germany attends a summit or formal negotiation meeting with Russia regarding Ukraine peace that explicitly excludes the United States before January 1, 2027.
- The meeting must be officially announced or documented by German government sources, Russian government sources, or major international news outlets.
- Bilateral meetings between Germany and Russia do not count; the summit must involve Ukraine as a party or subject of discussion.
- The US exclusion must be explicit—meetings where the US simply does not participate do not qualify.
- Resolution will be determined by official government statements, press releases, or credible reporting from major news organizations.
