Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
One-OffPolitica USAPoliticaElezioneSocietà e cultura2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 94.8%
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33
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Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
23 ago 24, 05:12 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This resolves YES if
- The Supreme Court does not overturn Obergefell v Hodges or
- A federal law is passed that protects gay marriage in all states and no federal court has legally halted gay marriages in any state.
- A state law being passed that outlaws gay marriage resolves YES as long as the federal protection continues and no federal court halts gay marriages in a particular state.