Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 96%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto26 nov 24, 21:35 UTC3 dic 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be the main antagonist in the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)?
Manifold MarketsWill Hajrudin awaken Conqueror’s Haki during the Elbaph Arc?
Manifold MarketsPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiRegole
Inspired by the video by Morj: https://youtube.com/watch?v=Pa0AQf1vAuA.
- Franky needs to be heavily involved in creating a ship or a weapon and this needs to based on the Pluton blueprints that he previously owned or in some other way heavily related to Pluton.
- Arcs are specified according to the wiki.
- Elbaph started on 1126 and will end when the wiki claims.
- Will resolve to No after the arc if the conditions have not yet been meet.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 342,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8K €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 264,6K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 84,3K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)?
- Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece) dovrebbe risolversi il 3 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Franky build Pluton during the Elbaf/Elbaph arc (One Piece)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Inspired by the video by Morj: https://youtube.com/watch?v=Pa0AQf1vAuA.