Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 94.2%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto9 gen 23, 22:46 UTC1 gen 28, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gurley create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsDaytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Entertainment News Series
KalshiWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
PolymarketJimmy Kimmel: Fired in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Fox News, a popular news organization.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Mercati aperti
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 24,5 Mln €
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 24,6 Mln €
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 Mln €
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Fox News, a popular news organization.