Will Elizabeth Warren seek reelection to the United States Senate?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 31 ott 2026, 17:09 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 50%
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto2 set 26, 11:00 UTC5 nov 30, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Senator Elizabeth Warren officially seeks reelection to the United States Senate from Massachusetts for the term beginning in January 2031 (the 2030 election cycle).
- "Seeking reelection" is defined as meeting at least one of the following conditions:
- She makes a formal, public announcement declaring her candidacy for reelection in the 2030 cycle.
- She officially files nomination papers with the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth to qualify for the 2030 Senate ballot (primary or general) and does not withdraw prior to the finalization of the ballot.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
