Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 96.3%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto12 giu 23, 13:51 UTC2 gen 45, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump outlive any of his children?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
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KalshiWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
KalshiRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
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- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump outlive the United States of America??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump outlive the United States of America??
- Will Donald Trump outlive the United States of America? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2045.