Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 77.9%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto8 nov 24, 17:17 UTC20 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the president on January 21, 2029 be a white man?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump still be president on January 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be US vice president on January 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsDemocrat inaugurated as US president in January 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRegole
If Trump serves his full term the answer is yes.
- If Trump is no longer president on January 19, 2029, the answer is no.
- The reason for the end of the Trump presidency is irrelevant.