Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 80.8%
Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto2 gen 25, 10:20 UTC1 gen 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will he still be the president on January 21st, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump still be in power in February 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the president on January 21, 2029 be a white man?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be US vice president on January 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurSisi still President of Egypt through the end of 2029?
FutuurRegole
According to the U.S. Constitution, presidential terms begin on January 20th following an election and last exactly 4 years.
- If Donald is inaugurated as the 47th president on January 20, 2025, his term would end on January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump is serving as President of the United States on January 1, 2029.
- This market will resolve NO if Trump is inaugurated but no longer in office on January 1, 2029
