Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95%
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85
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto6 nov 24, 18:51 UTC22 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This question resolves YES if Donald Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from the office of the US presidency.
- For that to happen, the House of Representatives would need to pass articles of impeachment, and the Senate would need to vote to convict Donald Trump by 2/3rds majority.
- A vote to convict immediately removes the President.
- This question resolves NO if impeachment and removal does not occur and it is 21 Jan 2029, or if Donald Trump ceases to be US President for other reasons (e.g. death, resignation).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term??
- Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term? dovrebbe risolversi il 22 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question resolves YES if Donald Trump is impeached by the House of Representatives, and also removed from the office of the US presidency.
- Dove altro è quotato Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.