Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffBusiness & Corporate1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mar 26, 00:00 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiHome Depot customer transactions in fiscal 2026
KalshiHome Depot customer transactions in Q3
KalshiRegole
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Customer Satisfaction Opportunities is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercati aperti
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.0pt91%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 565,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 451,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+25.0pt90%
- 65-89-8.5pt10%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-0.5pt78.2%
- Apple-0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.4%
- 200-21917.5%
- 160-179+3.0pt16.5%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 118,1K €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 189,5K €
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will "Customer Satisfaction Opportunities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.