Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 54%
Previsori
110
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto4 set 22, 20:49 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Some beginning to doubt the 2030s projection https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-chinas-economy-surpass-the-u-s-s-some-now-doubt-it-11662123945
- Sep 4, 9:54pm: Probably I'll use The World Bank or something, if I consider reliable.
Mercati aperti
Macro & Economy
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-29.0pt19%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 45,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 21K €
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- $518K - $524K+10.1pt31.1%
- $524K - $530K+11.4pt25.5%
- $530K - $536K-20.6pt16%
POLYMARKETWhat will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- $1.153M - $1.169M+12.5pt37.4%
- $1.137M - $1.153M-6.0pt31.3%
- <$1.137M-25.6pt14.1%
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate-3.0pt86.8%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt7.5%
- Cut 50bps1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,9K €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+1.0pt40%
- Above $4.80+2.0pt33%
- Above $5.0029%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
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- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 54% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s??
- Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2039.
- Come viene liquidato Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Some beginning to doubt the 2030s projection https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-chinas-economy-surpass-the-u-s-s-some-now-doubt-it-11662123945