Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 54%
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110
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 47 minuti fa
In ritardo4 set 22, 20:49 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China ever surpass US gdp?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP surpass US GDP before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?
Manifold MarketsUS GDP growth in Q4 2026?
PolymarketWill the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Some beginning to doubt the 2030s projection https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-chinas-economy-surpass-the-u-s-s-some-now-doubt-it-11662123945
- Sep 4, 9:54pm: Probably I'll use The World Bank or something, if I consider reliable.
