Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?
ChinaOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 59.1%
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5
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto4 mag 26, 17:53 UTC31 mag 29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES if China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 6.4 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- China Hongqiao is the world's largest single primary aluminum producer. 2024 capacity 6.46 Mt; constrained by China's 45 Mt national smelter cap.
- The 6.4 Mt strike for 2028 reflects the run-rate; absent capacity-cap relaxation in Beijing's 15th Five-Year Plan, sustained output above this level requires utilisation gains rather than new capacity.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- China Hongqiao Group annual results announcement (HKEx 1378) http://en.hongqiaochina.com/
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 59% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes??
- Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 maggio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if China Hongqiao Group's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 6.4 million tonnes.