Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 69.7% al 5 novembre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030??

Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: For many years, Catalans have wanted to become an indepdenent nation and break off from Spain.

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8 giu 23, 02:50 UTC1 gen 30, 05:00 UTC

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For many years, Catalans have wanted to become an indepdenent nation and break off from Spain.

On October 1, 2017, they tried to hold a binding vote to formally declare independence.
It failed, as the central government in Madrid cracked down on the vote declaring it an illegal referendum, jailing its leaders and suspending its government.
Will Catalonia try to do the same thing again before 2030?
Catalan independence movement - Wikipedia
2017 Catalan independence referendum - Wikipedia