Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezioneGeopoliticaChina9aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.7%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
7 set 26, 06:08 UTC31 dic 35, 23:59 UTC
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There could be many potential reasons, one is that AGI could become extremely dominating militarily in a way that gives the state high (bargaining) powers
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2035, at 11:59 PM PT, California has officially seceded from the United States or is otherwise formally recognized as an independent, sovereign nation-state separate from the United States federal government.
- To resolve to YES, at least one of the following conditions must be met:
- De Facto Sovereignty (similar to Taiwan): California successfully establishes full military and political autonomy, completely voids U.S. federal jurisdiction over its territory, and obtains formal diplomatic recognition as an independent state from the United States or admission as a member state of the United Nations.
- Federal Recognition: The United States federal government officially recognizes California's secession and sovereign independence through an Act of Congress, a ratified constitutional amendment, or a binding Supreme Court ruling.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035??
- Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2035.
- Come viene liquidato Will California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: There could be many potential reasons, one is that AGI could become extremely dominating militarily in a way that gives the state high (bargaining) powers