Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
10 giu 26, 05:06 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
KalshiWho will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will Bernie Sanders endorse before the midterms?
KalshiWill "On today's panel with Bernie Sanders" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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Manifold MarketsWhich of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Bernie Sanders officially declares his candidacy for President of the United States in the 2028 election cycle on or before Election Day, November 7, 2028.
- An official run requires at least one of the following:
- Filing a Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
- A formal, public announcement of his candidacy (e.g., via an official campaign launch video, press conference, or official press release).
- Forming an exploratory committee, being draft-campaigned by external organizations, or speculative media reporting will not suffice.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028??
- Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Bernie Sanders officially run for president in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria