Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 50.4%
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto6 set 26, 12:32 UTC5 gen 41, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Australia produced at least 500 gigalitres (GL) of desalinated water between January 1, 2040 and December 31, 2040.
- “Desalinated water” means water produced in Australia through desalination of seawater or estuarine water for supply by water-service providers.
- The preferred resolution sources are the Australian Bureau of Statistics Water Account, Bureau of Meteorology National Performance Report, or another authoritative Australian government source.
- If no single official source reports an Australia-wide calendar-year total, the market may resolve using sufficiently detailed official data from individual utilities or desalination plants, provided those figures can reasonably be summed to determine whether the 500 GL threshold was crossed.
- The relevant quantity is treated desalinated water produced or supplied, not seawater intake or total plant throughput before treatment.
- Water produced from desalination of saline groundwater is excluded unless it is included in the relevant national government series used for resolution.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 50.4% al 23 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040??
- Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 gennaio 2041.
- Come viene liquidato Will Australia produce 500 GL of desalinated water in 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that Australia produced at least 500 gigalitres (GL) of desalinated water between January 1, 2040 and December 31, 2040.