Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 61.2%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
15 set 26, 20:44 UTC30 set 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Austin LessWrong's 2026 Winter Solstice be held at Silas's place?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPro Baseball Champion
KalshiMLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)MLB: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (Sep 19, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Regole
As determined by post-event survey and group consensus.
- Austin LW has done a Petrov Day since 2015.
- Note: the group's leader will not be present at this one.
- Update accordingly.
Mercati aperti
Baseball
POLYMARKETWashington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals+54.5pt100%
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals — Yes+49.5pt100%
- Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+48.0pt100%
+32 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1 Mln €
KALSHIPro Baseball Champion
- Los Angeles D-0.8pt27.4%
- Milwaukee-0.7pt16%
- New York Y-0.4pt9.4%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 66,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers — Yes+56.5pt100%
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)100%
- San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Full game — Over 7.5 total runs100%
+36 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 19, 2026)
- MIL-1.0pt58.8%
- BAL41.2%
- Volume totale
- 348,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 348,5K €
POLYMARKETPhiladelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)+64.5pt100%
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+52.5pt100%
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings — Over 2.5 total runs+36.0pt100%
POLYMARKETKansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Full game — Over 8.5 total runs+52.5pt100%
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings — Over 2.5 total runs+24.4pt100%
- Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings — Over 3.5 total runs+40.0pt100%
- MLB: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays (Sep 19, 2026)
- Pro Baseball Playoff Qualifiers
- MLB: New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks (Sep 19, 2026)
- Minnesota vs Los Angeles A: Total Runs
- Detroit vs Chicago WS: Total Runs
- A's vs Cleveland: Total Runs
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers (Sep 19, 2026)
- MLB: Kansas City Royals vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Sep 19, 2026)
- Seattle vs Colorado
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 61% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever??
- Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Austin LessWrong's Petrov Day 2026 be in the top 3 Austin Petrov Day's ever??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As determined by post-event survey and group consensus.