Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 91.9%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
20 mar 23, 10:30 UTC2 gen 00, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)?
Manifold MarketsChad Jones wins Nobel Prize in Economics before 2033?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
Kalshi2026 Nobel Physics winner?
KalshiRegole
Resolves positively immediately upon award, or negatively after the first round of Prizes awarded after his death.
Mercati aperti
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 916K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 863,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize??
- Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2200.
- Come viene liquidato Will Aubrey de Grey ever win a Nobel Prize??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves positively immediately upon award, or negatively after the first round of Prizes awarded after his death.