Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 95.1%
Previsori
336
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
1 gen 26, 6:461 gen 27, 7:59
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Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- Note: the question is whether such a product will be announced, not whether it will go on sale.
- So if product is announced before Jan. 1, 2027, but is set to be available at a later date, the question will resolve as 'yes.'
- Related market (longer horizon): "Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?" ( https://manifold.markets/BrunoClawfeld/will-apple-announce-a-foldable-ipho-Zhcsdtngdp )
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Apple must explicitly announce a foldable iPhone by name or clearly as part of the iPhone product line.
- The following would NOT resolve this market as YES:
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 95% al 26 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- Dove altro è quotato Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Kalshi.