Will (any) Trump run against (any) Obama in the 2028 presidential election?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98.2%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 24 minuti fa
31 mar 25, 15:58 UTC5 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market resolves based on whether the 2028 U.S. presidential election features a direct matchup between a member of the Trump family and a member of the Obama family, including as independent candidates, president or vice-president.
- For this market to resolve YES, one major party nominee must be from the Trump family (Donald, Don Jr., Ivanka, Eric, etc.) and the other major party nominee must be from the Obama family (Barack, Michelle, etc.).
- Other people with the same surnames do not count.
- If only one family has a nominee, or neither family has a nominee, the market resolves NO.
