Previsione della comunità attuale
No 88.6%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto9 giu 24, 22:56 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will run for public office in 2026?
KalshiWill Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
PolymarketWill Hasan Piker announce a run for public office?
KalshiWill James Fishback announce a run for public office?
Kalshiwill Jimmy Kimmel run for any public office before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRegole
This question will resolve yes if at least 1 Manifest 2024 attendee is elected to a government position by the end of 2026.
- It will resolve no otherwise.
Mercati aperti
ElectionsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 187,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 514,9K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt52%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt46%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff-0.4pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-0.3pt12%
+48 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.8pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt28.1%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 610,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt78%
- New People (NL)+1.5pt18%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 altri esiti
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
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- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Michigan Senate Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier??
- Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will any Manifest attendees be elected to public office in 2026 or earlier??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question will resolve yes if at least 1 Manifest 2024 attendee is elected to a government position by the end of 2026.