Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticaMiddle East1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 60%
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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto16 mar 26, 12:06 UTC1 gen 28, 11:41 UTC
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Any deal that could be easily perceived as "against the interests of the USA" will be considered.
- These include but are not limited to: - Kicking out USA military personnel from local bases - Temporarily restricting US operations in said bases - Restricting airspace access to the USA - Agreeing to only sell oil in Yuan for the duration of the conflict
- The deal must: 1) Offer a concrete non-aggression guarantee by Iran 2) Sideline the USA* 3) Be publicly acknowledged by both sides
- *A deal between the USA and Iran that happens to help conditions for all the gulf-states will not be considered.
- (That said, I can see a world where Bahrain and Iran strike a deal and Trump insists it's his deal cause he's the dealmaker...
- I would consider this still sidelines the USA if it clearly favours Bahrain only.)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 60% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks??
- Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will any gulf-state make a side-deal with Iran to avoid further attacks??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Any deal that could be easily perceived as "against the interests of the USA" will be considered.