Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 29 ott 2026, 14:32 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 79.5%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto24 ott 25, 14:46 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 1?
PolymarketWhite House # posts October 30 - November 6, 2026?
PolymarketWhite House # posts October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketWho will attend a White House Press Briefing in 2026?
KalshiNext White House Press Secretary announced before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the White House Press Secretary say in the next press briefing?
KalshiRegole
YES resolves if:
- A credible source (news report, official filing, or photographic evidence) confirms demolition of another entire structural section of the White House beyond the East Wing.
- “Major section” means a complete wing (e.g., West Wing), a full floor, or another comparably large and integral structure of the White House complex.
- NO resolves if:
- No further major demolition beyond the East Wing occurs by December 31, 2026.
- Any changes limited to the East Wing site (already demolished), cosmetic renovations, interior remodels, or partial façade adjustments do not count.