Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.9%
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In ritardo31 ott 23, 22:24 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump run for a third term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump win the 2028 presidential election and be sworn in for a third term?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the next Secretary General of the United Nations be from, following Antonio Guterres?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
Manifold MarketsAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
PolymarketKathy Hochul to finish her term as governor of New York?
FutuurRegole
António Guterres is the current General-Secretary of the United Nations (UN).
- The General-Secretary is selected for five-year terms, with the next selection to take place in 2026.
- To become General-Secretary, a candidate must be nominated by a UN member state, recommended by the UN Security Council (receiving 9 out of 15 votes and no vetoes by the permament members), and voted in by a majority in the UN General Assembly.
- Guterres was selected as General-Secretary in 2016 after six straw polls on the UN Security Council.
- Guterres was nominated again in 2021 and was the only official candidate, being recommended unanimously by the UN Security Council and acclaimed by the UN General Assembly.
- Will Guterres be selected to serve a third term as UN General-Secretary?
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary??
- Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Antonio Guterres obtain a third term as UN General-Secretary??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: António Guterres is the current General-Secretary of the United Nations (UN).