Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.6%
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto27 ago 23, 16:27 UTC31 dic 50, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?
Manifold MarketsWill an official mugshot of Nancy Pelosi be published before her death?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegole
This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets.
- If you want to discuss this series of markets in general there is a Discord thread.
- [image]Mugshot series: @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-george @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-anthony @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-joe-bid @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-hillary @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-nancy-p @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-mike-pe
- @/CodeandSolder/will-an-official-mugshot-of-any-cur
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 693K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an official mugshot of Mike Pence be published before his death??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will an official mugshot of Mike Pence be published before his death??
- Will an official mugshot of Mike Pence be published before his death? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will an official mugshot of Mike Pence be published before his death??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through Rumble.com.