Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione14a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 66.6%
Previsori
157
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto21 apr 23, 18:37 UTC31 dic 40, 22:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegole
This question will resolve as YES if a woman is elected as the President of the United States in any presidential election held before December 31, 2040.
- The election must take place through the constitutional process and result in a woman assuming the office of the President of the United States.
- A woman who serves as Vice President and assumes the office of the President due to the President's death, resignation, or removal from office would not count as a "woman elected as the President."
- If a woman is elected as President but is unable to assume office due to death, incapacity, or other reasons, this would still count as a YES resolution as long as the election process had been completed.
- For the sake of this market I'll define a woman as someone identifying as a woman at the time of being elected.
- So trans women are women.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040??
- Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2040.
- Come viene liquidato Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This question will resolve as YES if a woman is elected as the President of the United States in any presidential election held before December 31, 2040.