Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97.7%
Previsori
55
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mar 22, 12:26 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Moon land people on the moon before Starship HLS ?
Manifold MarketsWill the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketRegole
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/will-spacex-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/
- Closes Oct 12, 2025.
- Expected to resolve around Jan 1, 2030.
- Close date updated to 2029-12-31 11:59 pm
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 944,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume totale
- 620K €
- Volume 24h
- 536K €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume totale
- 514,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030??
- Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will a SpaceX-branded mission land people on Mars prior to Jan 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/349/will-spacex-land-people-on-mars-prior-to-2030/